Cezar Ferreira vs Jack Hermansson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record24-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFrontline Academy
What's at stake
Jack Hermansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-8→ 1583
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraJack Hermansson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson79%
Cezar Ferreira 21%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 79% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Jack Hermansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1591, a 130-point edge.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.
Cezar Ferreira and Jack Hermansson share 1 common opponent: Marvin Vettori.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.