Cezar Ferreira vs Jack Hermansson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record24-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFrontline Academy
What's at stake
Jack Hermansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-7→ 1585
If they win+7→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraJack Hermansson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson83%
Cezar Ferreira 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 83% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Jack Hermansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1592, a 140-point edge.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.
Cezar Ferreira and Jack Hermansson share 1 common opponent: Marvin Vettori.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.