Cezar Ferreira vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record19-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
216 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Marvin Vettori is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cezar Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1606
If they lose-9→ 1582
If they win+9→ 1697
If they lose-15→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cezar FerreiraMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori83%
Cezar Ferreira 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 83% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Marvin Vettori holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1591, a 97-point edge.
Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cezar Ferreira finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Cezar Ferreira and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Jack Hermansson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.