Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs César Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamLotus MMA

What's at stake

Cezary Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — César Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cezary OleksiejczukNow 1727
If they win+13→ 1740
If they lose-19→ 1708
César AlmeidaNow 1654
If they win+29→ 1683
If they lose-19→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

28.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
100%
Strike accuracy
59%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
100%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Cezary OleksiejczukCésar Almeida
16001650170020242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
2 (12%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (35%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Cezary Oleksiejczuk76%
César Almeida 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 76% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Cezary Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1654, a 73-point edge.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.