Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs César Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Cezary Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — César Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-21→ 1713
If they win+21→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cezary OleksiejczukCésar Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cezary Oleksiejczuk72%
César Almeida 28%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 72% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Cezary Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1628, a 106-point edge.
Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.
César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.