Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Matt Lindland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record22-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cezary OleksiejczukNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Matt LindlandNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

28.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
100%
Strike accuracy
52%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
100%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
3.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Cezary OleksiejczukMatt Lindland
1650170017502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
2 (12%)
Submission
6 (29%)
6 (35%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Cezary Oleksiejczuk70%
Matt Lindland 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Matt Lindland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Lindland's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1729), separated by just 2 points.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Matt Lindland 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.