Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Paulo Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record24-6-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'8"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cezary OleksiejczukNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Paulo FilhoNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

28.33
Sig. strikes / min
0.72
100%
Strike accuracy
34%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.75
100%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
0.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
100%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.55

Trajectory

Cezary OleksiejczukPaulo Filho
1650170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (21%)
2 (12%)
Submission
9 (38%)
6 (35%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Cezary Oleksiejczuk70%
Paulo Filho 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Paulo Filho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Filho's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1731), separated by just 4 points.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Filho 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.