Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Royce Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record15-2-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach--
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cezary OleksiejczukRoyce Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cezary Oleksiejczuk70%
Royce Gracie 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Royce Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.
Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.