Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Shamil Abdulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cezary OleksiejczukNow 1728
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712
Shamil AbdulaevNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

28.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
100%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
100%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cezary OleksiejczukShamil Abdulaev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
2 (12%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (35%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Cezary Oleksiejczuk54%
Shamil Abdulaev 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 54% favorite over Shamil Abdulaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Abdulaev's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1728 vs 1733), separated by just 5 points.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.