Combat Edge Intelligence

Cezary Oleksiejczuk vs Tim Kennedy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record18-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'11"
75"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Akademia Sportow Walki WilanowTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cezary OleksiejczukNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Tim KennedyNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

28.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
100%
Strike accuracy
48%
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.84
100%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
2.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Cezary OleksiejczukTim Kennedy
165017001750180020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
2 (12%)
Submission
6 (33%)
6 (35%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Cezary Oleksiejczuk70%
Tim Kennedy 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cezary Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Tim Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Kennedy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1730), separated by just 3 points.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tim Kennedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cezary Oleksiejczuk finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tim Kennedy 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.