
Chad Anheliger vs Jesse Strader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Chad Anheliger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jesse Strader carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Strader a 57% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (42%).
Chad Anheliger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1576, a 57-point edge.
Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Strader 86%.
Jesse Strader carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.