Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Anheliger vs Jesse Strader

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamKemo's Fight Factory

What's at stake

Chad Anheliger is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jesse Strader carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chad AnheligerNow 1633
If they win+13→ 1646
If they lose-19→ 1614
Jesse StraderNow 1576
If they win+19→ 1595
If they lose-13→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
5.03
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.28
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.68
Takedown avg.
3.87
31%
Takedown accuracy
57%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chad AnheligerJesse Strader
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
3 (23%)
Submission
1 (14%)
3 (23%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesse Strader57%
Chad Anheliger 43%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Strader a 57% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (42%).

Chad Anheliger holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1576, a 57-point edge.

Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Strader 86%.

Jesse Strader carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.