Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Anheliger vs Joji Goto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record21-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
64"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Champion's Creed MMATeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad AnheligerNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Joji GotoNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chad AnheligerJoji Goto
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
3 (23%)
Submission
5 (24%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Joji Goto79%
Chad Anheliger 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joji Goto a 79% favorite over Chad Anheliger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Anheliger's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Chad Anheliger finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Joji Goto 71%.

Joji Goto carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.