Chad Corvin vs Gable Steveson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record4-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
253 lbsWeight265 lbs
Etown BeatdownTeamLa Bodega Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad CorvinGable Steveson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gable Steveson61%
Chad Corvin 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 61% favorite over Chad Corvin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chad Corvin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.
Chad Corvin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chad Corvin finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.