Chad Reiner vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-18-0Record28-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Premier Combat CenterTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chad Reiner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-8→ 1521
If they win+8→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chad ReinerJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman70%
Chad Reiner 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 70% favorite over Chad Reiner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1529, a 115-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Chad Reiner finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.