Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Regan Upshaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average
Regan Upshaw
us

Regan Upshaw

“The Eternal”

0-1-0Light HeavyweightONE

1478Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
223 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Regan UpshawNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Combat Edge model read

Regan Upshaw51%
Chad Yard 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 51% favorite over Chad Yard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1478), separated by just 6 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.