Chamy Delva vs Jesus Hernandez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Chamy Delva54%
Jesus Hernandez 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chamy Delva a 54% favorite over Jesus Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.
Jesus Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chamy Delva finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Hernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach-
167 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chamy DelvaJesus Hernandez