Chance Ikei vs Oscar Jurado Sánchez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Chance Ikei52%
Oscar Jurado Sánchez 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chance Ikei a 52% favorite over Oscar Jurado Sánchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Oscar Jurado Sánchez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chance Ikei finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Jurado Sánchez 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA LabTeamIntercept MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
If they win+24→ 1650
If they lose-24→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chance IkeiOscar Jurado Sánchez