Chance Ikei vs Xhelal Lleshi
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Chance Ikei54%
Xhelal Lleshi 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chance Ikei a 54% favorite over Xhelal Lleshi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Xhelal Lleshi enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chance Ikei finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Xhelal Lleshi 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight130 lbs
MMA LabTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1673 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chance IkeiXhelal Lleshi