Chance Rencountre vs Lyman Good
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record21-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann
What's at stake
Lyman Good is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chance Rencountre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+9→ 1740
If they lose-15→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chance RencountreLyman Good
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lyman Good61%
Chance Rencountre 39%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Lyman Good a 61% favorite over Chance Rencountre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Lyman Good holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1649, a 82-point edge.
Chance Rencountre finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Lyman Good 67%.
Chance Rencountre and Lyman Good share 1 common opponent: Belal Muhammad.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.