Combat Edge Intelligence

Chandler Cole vs Justin Tafa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Tafa
au

Justin Tafa

“Bad Man”

7-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
262 lbsWeight265 lbs
Wise County Combat ClubTeamNTG Fight & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chandler ColeNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Justin TafaNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
60%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.11
27%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chandler ColeJustin Tafa
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chandler Cole60%
Justin Tafa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chandler Cole a 60% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chandler Cole finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.