Combat Edge Intelligence

Chang Ho Lee vs Marcus McGhee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Monster HouseTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chang Ho LeeNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Marcus McGheeNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
5.50
67%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
40%
Strike defense
58%
3.27
Takedown avg.
0.31
33%
Takedown accuracy
14%
38%
Takedown defense
90%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Chang Ho LeeMarcus McGhee
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chang Ho Lee and Marcus McGhee within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1701), separated by just 2 points.

Chang Ho Lee finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.