Combat Edge Intelligence

Chang Ho Lee vs Thomas Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Monster HouseTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chang Ho LeeNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Thomas AlmeidaNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
4.84
67%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
40%
Strike defense
62%
3.27
Takedown avg.
0.17
33%
Takedown accuracy
14%
38%
Takedown defense
76%
0.36
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chang Ho LeeThomas Almeida
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
1 (9%)
Submission
4 (18%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Chang Ho Lee70%
Thomas Almeida 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chang Ho Lee a 70% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1701), separated by just 2 points.

Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chang Ho Lee finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.