Charles Johnson vs Chris Weidman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record16-8-0
FlyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach78"
125 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonChris Weidman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson86%
Chris Weidman 14%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 86% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Chris Weidman 63%.
Chris Weidman carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.