Charles Johnson vs Eduardo Henrique
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMaquininha do Futuro
What's at stake
Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Eduardo Henrique carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1716
If they lose-14→ 1692
If they win+19→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonEduardo Henrique
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson76%
Eduardo Henrique 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 76% favorite over Eduardo Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1649, a 57-point edge.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Henrique 73%.
Charles Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.