Charles Johnson vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jake Hadley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1679
If they win+18→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson60%
Jake Hadley 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 60% favorite over Jake Hadley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1640, a 53-point edge.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.