Charles Johnson vs Lone’er Kavanagh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'4"
70"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lone’er Kavanagh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-13→ 1694
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonLone’er Kavanagh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson56%
Lone’er Kavanagh 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 56% favorite over Lone’er Kavanagh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1670, a 37-point edge.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.
Charles Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.