Lone’er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson

Aug 23, 2025 · ESPN+

DateAug 23, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueShanghai Indoor Stadium

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, August 23, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 12:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:00 PM
Your time

Lone’er Kavanagh10-2-0Lone’er Kavanagh vs Charles JohnsonCharles JohnsonInnerG |20-9-0

Lone’er Kavanagh10-2-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-2-0Record20-9-0

27Age35

5'4"Height5'9"

67"Reach70"

126 lbsWeight125 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Charles JohnsonInnerG20-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Charles Johnson owns a 37-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Lone’er Kavanagh and Charles Johnson across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Lone’er KavanaghCharles Johnson

Recent form

Lone’er KavanaghL W L W W · +13 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Charles JohnsonW L W L W · +15 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Lone’er Kavanagh1670-19 last move

Charles Johnson1707+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Lone’er Kavanagh#50 of 206 active Flyweight fighters · 1670 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jose Ochoa (rated 1660 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Charles Johnson (rated 1691 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +13 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #49 Kevin Fernandez, 0 ahead of #51 Mitch Raposo.

Charles Johnson#3 of 77 active Catchweight fighters · 1707 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Joshua Van (rated 1701 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ramazan Temirov (rated 1714 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +15 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #2 Nkosi Ndebele, 4 ahead of #4 Tommy Morrisson.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Lone’er KavanaghNow 1670 · #50 Flyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1688

Loses by decision-14→ 1656

Charles JohnsonNow 1707 · #3 Catchweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1718

Loses by decision-13→ 1694

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Lone’er KavanaghvsCharles Johnson

Takedown average

1.12vs0.47

Takedown defense

83%vs67%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.13vs4.54

Submission average

0.37vs0.39

Finishing profile

Lone’er Kavanaghdecision leads 50% of wins

Charles JohnsonKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

Jose Ochoa Lone’er Kavanagh: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Nov 23, 2024 Charles Johnson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Aug 15, 2026

Bruno Silva Lone’er Kavanagh: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 14, 2026 Charles Johnson: win · Decision (Split) · Mar 14, 2026

Ramazan Temirov Lone’er Kavanagh: upcoming · Oct 24, 2026 Charles Johnson: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Mar 1, 2025

Tale of the tape

Lone’er KavanaghCharles Johnson

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.13Sig. strikes landed per min4.54

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

50Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.94Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.88

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

54Sig. strike defense55

UFC flyweight average : 55%

1.12Takedown average0.47

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC flyweight average : 26%

83Takedown defense67

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.37Submission average0.39

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

4Wins by knockout8

1Wins by submission4

5Wins by decision8

1Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision7

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : WALKER VS ZHANG. Lone’er Kavanagh enters with a 10-2-0 record and Charles Johnson enters with a 20-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.