Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Johnson vs Sumudaerji

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sumudaerji
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Sumudaerji

“Tibetan Eagle”

19-7-0FlyweightUFC

1675Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sumudaerji carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles JohnsonNow 1706
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-13→ 1693
SumudaerjiNow 1675
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-11→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.29
55%
Strike defense
63%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
73%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Charles JohnsonSumudaerji
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
4 (20%)
Submission
1 (5%)
8 (40%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Johnson60%
Sumudaerji 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 60% favorite over Sumudaerji in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1675, a 31-point edge.

Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 74%.

Sumudaerji carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.