Charles Johnson vs Tommy Morrisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record12-0-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach67.1"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1698 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonTommy Morrisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy Morrisson60%
Charles Johnson 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Morrisson a 60% favorite over Charles Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charles Johnson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1696), separated by just 10 points.
Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 25%.
Charles Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.