Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Jourdain vs Julian Erosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
69"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Academie Pro Star MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Charles Jourdain is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Julian Erosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles JourdainNow 1715
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
Julian ErosaNow 1695
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.48
Sig. strikes / min
6.21
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.27
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.78
21%
Takedown accuracy
44%
47%
Takedown defense
62%
0.66
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Charles JourdainJulian Erosa
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
7 (39%)
Submission
14 (45%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Jourdain62%
Julian Erosa 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Jourdain a 62% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Charles Jourdain holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1695, a 20-point edge.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charles Jourdain finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.

Charles Jourdain and Julian Erosa share 1 common opponent: Ricardo Ramos.

Julian Erosa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2023
Ricardo Ramos
WinSubmission · 2024