Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Jourdain vs Marcelo Rojo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcelo Rojo
ar

Marcelo Rojo

“Pitbull”

17-10-0FeatherweightFFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record17-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Academie Pro Star MMATeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Charles Jourdain is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Rojo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles JourdainNow 1715
If they win+7→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1698
Marcelo RojoNow 1560
If they win+23→ 1583
If they lose-9→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.46
21%
Takedown accuracy
50%
47%
Takedown defense
67%
0.66
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charles JourdainMarcelo Rojo
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
7 (39%)
Submission
6 (38%)
3 (17%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Jourdain90%
Marcelo Rojo 10%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Jourdain a 90% favorite over Marcelo Rojo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Charles Jourdain holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1560, a 155-point edge.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Charles Jourdain finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Rojo 94%.

Charles Jourdain and Marcelo Rojo share 1 common opponent: Kyler Phillips.

Marcelo Rojo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Kyler Phillips
LossSubmission · 2022