Charles McCarthy vs David Loiseau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight192 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
David Loiseau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Charles McCarthy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1612
If they lose-14→ 1580
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-18→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles McCarthyDavid Loiseau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Loiseau60%
Charles McCarthy 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes David Loiseau a 60% favorite over Charles McCarthy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
David Loiseau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1594, a 42-point edge.
Charles McCarthy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, David Loiseau 78%.
Charles McCarthy and David Loiseau share 1 common opponent: Gideon Ray.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.