Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles McCarthy vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charles McCarthyNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.18
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
12%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
56%
Strike defense
45%
2.67
Takedown avg.
2.86
60%
Takedown accuracy
44%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
2.67
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Charles McCarthyGilbert Urbina
1600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
10 (100%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina63%
Charles McCarthy 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 63% favorite over Charles McCarthy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1597), separated by just 3 points.

Charles McCarthy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.