Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record28-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Diego Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1823
If they lose-13→ 1799
If they win+13→ 1795
If they lose-11→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraDiego Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira51%
Diego Lopes 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 51% favorite over Diego Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1782, a 30-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Diego Lopes 86%.
Charles Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.