Charles Oliveira vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record28-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1825
If they lose-11→ 1801
If they win+11→ 1841
If they lose-13→ 1817
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway60%
Charles Oliveira 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 60% favorite over Charles Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1812, a 18-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Charles Oliveira and Max Holloway share 2 common opponents: Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje.
Charles Oliveira carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.