Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado69%
Charles Radtke 31%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 69% favorite over Charles Radtke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Francisco Prado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1640, a 32-point edge.
Charles Radtke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.
Charles Radtke carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Evolution MMA NaplesTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Francisco Prado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Charles Radtke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1657
If they lose-15→ 1625
If they win+15→ 1687
If they lose-17→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado