Charles Radtke vs Matthew Semelsberger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolution MMA NaplesTeamClinch Academy
What's at stake
Charles Radtke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matthew Semelsberger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-18→ 1637
If they win+18→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles RadtkeMatthew Semelsberger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Radtke70%
Matthew Semelsberger 30%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Radtke a 70% favorite over Matthew Semelsberger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Charles Radtke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1608, a 47-point edge.
Charles Radtke enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Charles Radtke finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Semelsberger 64%.
Matthew Semelsberger carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.