Charles Rosa vs Justin Jaynes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record17-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight159 lbs
American Combat GymTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Charles Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Justin Jaynes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-8→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles RosaJustin Jaynes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Jaynes60%
Charles Rosa 40%Elo baseline: 34%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Jaynes a 60% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charles Rosa's way (34%).
Charles Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1553, a 113-point edge.
Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Justin Jaynes 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.