Charlie Campbell vs Jason Gonzalez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie CampbellJason Gonzalez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charlie Campbell66%
Jason Gonzalez 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 66% favorite over Jason Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.
Jason Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jason Gonzalez 100%.
Jason Gonzalez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.