Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Campbell vs Luis Pena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luis Pena
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Luis Pena

“Violent Bob Ross”

12-6-0WelterweightAFS

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie CampbellNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Luis PenaNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.12
55%
Strike defense
51%
2.95
Takedown avg.
1.17
40%
Takedown accuracy
33%
71%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Charlie CampbellLuis Pena
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Campbell61%
Luis Pena 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 61% favorite over Luis Pena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Luis Pena 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.