Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Campbell vs Ryan Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie CampbellNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Ryan CoutureNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
54%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.02
55%
Strike defense
55%
2.95
Takedown avg.
0.63
40%
Takedown accuracy
8%
71%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charlie CampbellRyan Couture
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Campbell70%
Ryan Couture 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 70% favorite over Ryan Couture in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.