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Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Kohler vs Eric Nolan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

9-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
165 lbsWeight185 lbs
San Diego Fight ClubTeamLionheart Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie KohlerNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Eric NolanNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
33%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
47%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
44%
4.04
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charlie KohlerEric Nolan
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
5 (63%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan77%
Charlie Kohler 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 77% favorite over Charlie Kohler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Charlie Kohler finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Eric Nolan 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.