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Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Ontiveros vs Hovik Zakarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamLumpini Club Tours

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie OntiverosNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Hovik ZakarianNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
41%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
31%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
30%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Charlie OntiverosHovik Zakarian
1550202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (50%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Ontiveros59%
Hovik Zakarian 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Ontiveros a 59% favorite over Hovik Zakarian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1521), separated by just 0 points.

Charlie Ontiveros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charlie Ontiveros finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Hovik Zakarian 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.