Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Dakota Bush

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Dakota BushNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
49%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
40%
Strike defense
42%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.40
2%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
0%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase HooperDakota Bush
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
9 (53%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (24%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Dakota Bush71%
Chase Hooper 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 71% favorite over Chase Hooper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Bush 53%.

Chase Hooper and Dakota Bush share 1 common opponent: Viacheslav Borshchev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2024
Viacheslav Borshchev
LossTKO · 2022