Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Felipe Colares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Chase Hooper is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Felipe Colares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-20→ 1686
Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+20→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
40%
Strike defense
37%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.88
2%
Takedown accuracy
24%
55%
Takedown defense
43%
2.08
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Chase HooperFelipe Colares
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
9 (53%)
Submission
6 (55%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper79%
Felipe Colares 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 79% favorite over Felipe Colares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Chase Hooper holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1617, a 89-point edge.

Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Colares 73%.

Chase Hooper carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.