Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Nick Fiore

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu NH

What's at stake

Chase Hooper is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nick Fiore carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-21→ 1685
Nick FioreNow 1593
If they win+21→ 1614
If they lose-11→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
49%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.93
40%
Strike defense
43%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.50
2%
Takedown accuracy
45%
55%
Takedown defense
71%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase HooperNick Fiore
1550160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
9 (53%)
Submission
5 (63%)
4 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper71%
Nick Fiore 29%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 71% favorite over Nick Fiore in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Chase Hooper holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1593, a 113-point edge.

Nick Fiore enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nick Fiore 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.