Chase Hooper vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-1Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Steve Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chase Hooper carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-13→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase HooperSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Garcia62%
Chase Hooper 38%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Garcia a 62% favorite over Chase Hooper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Steve Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1691, a 32-point edge.
Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.