Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Steven Peterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record19-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Chase Hooper is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Steven Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-20→ 1671
Steven PetersonNow 1609
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-9→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
40%
Strike defense
53%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.42
2%
Takedown accuracy
27%
55%
Takedown defense
64%
2.08
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Chase HooperSteven Peterson
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
8 (50%)
Submission
8 (42%)
4 (25%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper84%
Steven Peterson 16%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 84% favorite over Steven Peterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Chase Hooper holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1609, a 82-point edge.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.

Chase Hooper carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.