Chase Sherman vs Louie Sutherland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanLouie Sutherland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland62%
Chase Sherman 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 62% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Sherman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1584), separated by just 3 points.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.
Chase Sherman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.