Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheick Kongo vs Dan Evensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-12-2Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
242 lbsWeight252 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Evensen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cheick KongoNow 1749
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+21→ 1648
If they lose-11→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
0.27
58%
Strike accuracy
11%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
55%
Strike defense
38%
2.20
Takedown avg.
0
63%
Takedown accuracy
0%
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.28
Submission avg.
3.99

Trajectory

Cheick KongoDan Evensen
155016001650170017502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
4 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
12 (39%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheick Kongo72%
Dan Evensen 28%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 72% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1627, a 122-point edge.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Dan Evensen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.