Chelsea Chandler vs Julija Stoliarenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record11-9-2
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
137 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFighter House
What's at stake
Chelsea Chandler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Julija Stoliarenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1598
If they lose-18→ 1566
If they win+18→ 1569
If they lose-14→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea ChandlerJulija Stoliarenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chelsea Chandler63%
Julija Stoliarenko 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Chandler a 63% favorite over Julija Stoliarenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Chelsea Chandler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1584 to 1551, a 33-point edge.
Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chelsea Chandler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Julija Stoliarenko 91%.
Chelsea Chandler and Julija Stoliarenko share 1 common opponent: Yana Santos.
Chelsea Chandler carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.